The New Zealand vs South Africa clash is set for Saturday, 6 September 2025, at Eden Park in Auckland. Kick-off is at 19:05 local time (09:05 SAST).
New Zealand vs South Africa: Rugby’s biggest rivalry returns
This game forms part of the Rugby Championship, a competition featuring four teams – New Zealand, South Africa, Australia, and Argentina – where each side plays the others home and away.
Both the All Blacks (New Zealand) and the Springboks (South Africa) have dominated world rugby for more than a century. Between them, they have won seven of the 10 Rugby World Cup tournaments. This match is expected to be one of the toughest encounters of the year.
According to Rugby Championship standings, the competition is very tight after two rounds. New Zealand leads the table with six points, while South Africa, Australia, and Argentina are only two points behind. That means the winner of this match could move closer to lifting the title.
The All Blacks also have an emotional motivation. They are expected to honour the late Shane Christie, a former New Zealand flanker, by aiming for victory in this high-profile Test.
The Springboks landed in Auckland on Wednesday after a long trip from South Africa. Coach Rassie Erasmus said the squad is “in good spirits” and fully aware of the challenge.
“It’s always tough playing here, but the group is in good spirits, and we are fully aware of the magnitude of the task ahead,” Erasmus explained.
He added that adapting to the time zone and conditions was key to being fully prepared by matchday.
South Africa will rely on experienced players such as captain Siya Kolisi, Eben Etzebeth, Pieter-Steph du Toit, and Handre Pollard. Injuries have ruled out wings Kurt-Lee Arendse and Edwill van der Merwe, but Makazole Mapimpi has rejoined the squad as cover.
Key stats from the first rounds
- Attack: South Africa averages four metres per carry, while New Zealand averages just under three. However, the All Blacks have scored nine tries compared to the Boks’ six.
- Defence: New Zealand has a slightly better tackle success rate (84% vs 81%).
- Discipline: The All Blacks conceded 22 penalties in two games, while the Springboks gave away 19.
- Kicking: South Africa is more accurate, with an 83% conversion success rate and 100% for penalty goals. The All Blacks have struggled with only 56% conversions and 75% on penalties.
These numbers suggest New Zealand’s attack is more clinical, while South Africa’s kicking could give them an edge in tight moments.
Predicted line-ups
New Zealand (expected): Scott Barrett (captain), Ardie Savea, Sam Whitelock, Richie Mo’unga, Beauden Barrett, Rieko Ioane, Jordie Barrett.
South Africa (confirmed squad): Siya Kolisi (captain), Eben Etzebeth, Pieter-Steph du Toit, Handre Pollard, Cheslin Kolbe, Damian de Allende, Willie le Roux, Makazole Mapimpi.
New Zealand vs South Africa score prediction
Given the form of both teams and Eden Park’s history – where New Zealand rarely loses – the All Blacks may have a slight advantage.
However, the Springboks’ kicking accuracy and physicality could keep the match very close.
Predicted score: New Zealand 24 – 21 South Africa.
