Gaza ceasefire at risk of collapse with Netanyahu’s latest ultimatum

Israel has threatened to resume fighting in Gaza if Hamas does not release hostages by midday on Saturday, putting the ceasefire at risk of collapse.

The fragile ceasefire in Gaza is at risk of breaking down after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu issued an ultimatum to Hamas: release the remaining hostages by midday on Saturday, 15 February 2025, or face renewed military action.

Netanyahu wants hostages released by midday on Saturday

Netanyahu’s warning comes after Hamas suspended a planned hostage release, citing alleged violations of the ceasefire agreement by Israel.

According to reports, the Israeli security cabinet held a four-hour emergency meeting in Jerusalem, where they reportedly unanimously backed Netanyahu’s stance.

“If Hamas does not return our hostages by Saturday noon, the ceasefire will be terminated, and the IDF will return to intense fighting until Hamas is finally defeated,” Netanyahu stated.

The Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) have already mobilised troops inside and around Gaza in preparation for possible renewed combat.

US President Donald Trump has also weighed in, calling on Hamas to release all remaining hostages rather than just the few initially planned.

The Israeli government said it “welcomed” Trump’s support and his “revolutionary vision for the future of Gaza”.

What happens if Hamas ignores the deadline?

If Hamas does not comply with Netanyahu’s ultimatum, Israel is expected to resume full-scale military operations in Gaza.

The IDF has already signalled its readiness by reinforcing its troops and preparing for what could be another intense phase of the conflict.

Potential scenarios if the ceasefire collapses:

  • Renewed airstrikes: Israel may launch immediate airstrikes on Hamas targets across Gaza.
  • Ground operations: The IDF could re-enter northern Gaza to reclaim areas ceded during the truce.
  • Diplomatic fallout: A collapse of the ceasefire could see further international condemnation, with countries calling for renewed mediation efforts.
  • Humanitarian crisis: A return to conflict could worsen the already dire humanitarian situation, affecting aid efforts and civilian casualties.

Hamas has dismissed Netanyahu’s demand, stating it remains committed to the ceasefire if Israel abides by its terms.

However, with both sides escalating their rhetoric, the likelihood of a return to hostilities appears increasingly high.